Relics of the auto industryโs colorful, curvaceous, gas-chugging past are displayed on Renoโs streets and parking lots this week for Hot August Nights. They represent Americaโs car culture history. But what is its future? Local experts tend to think that whatever the auto future holds, itโs going to be electric.
โI really believe that children now, their children will be just astonished that we didnโt plug in our cars,โ says Bob Tregilus of the Electric Auto Association of Northern Nevada and co-host of the This Week in Energy podcast.
While some have dismissed electric vehicles as a pipe dream, itโs hard to ignore that every major auto manufacturer now has a plug-in vehicle in the works. โTwo of the last holdouts just committed to building electric drive transportationโToyota and most recently Honda,โ says Tregilus.
The first mass-market, plug-in electric vehicles, the $41,000 Chevy Volt and $32,780 Nissan Leaf, will be on the market at the end of the year. The Volt and Leaf also carry eight-year, 100,000-mile warranties, putting to rest some fears of a replace-it-every-couple-of-years battery.
Bud Difatta of Reno Honda says sales of the hybrid Honda Civic have been pretty steady, though local interest in hybrids has been moderate. โThere was a lot more interest with our little mini gas crunch a couple of years ago,โ he says. โEveryone is more concerned about gas prices than the environment, unfortunately.โ
Travis Johnson, who does electric vehicle outreach for NV Energy, thinks EVs will end up being the most cost-effective option someday. โElectric vehicles are very simple,โ says Johnson, who drives a hybrid Ford Escape. โThey donโt have transmissions; they donโt require oil changes and a lot of the typical maintenance youโd do on a gasoline car. โฆ As battery technology gets more affordable, they will become the lowest price option.โ
Johnson says NV Energy is working on Nevadaโs lackluster public charging infrastructure. Whether charging stations should be public, private or some combination is one hurdle. That said, studies show that even where public charging stations are abundant, most people charge at home. โPeople will learn that will work just fine for them,โ says Johnson. โUntil then, a handful of charging stations in the community will help ease that anxiety and get them past the hump.โ
If people are strategic about when they charge their vehicles, even those without solar panels on their roofs could be powering their cars with a good chunk of renewable energy. Johnson says that between 1 a.m. and 6 a.m., nearly half the energy on the grid comes from geothermal power. โIf you and I are plugging our cars in, and we set the charger to come on at 1 a.m., itโs primarily geothermal energy charging that car.โ
Another contender for โcar of the futureโ could be the compressed natural gas car. In the energy bill released last week, $400 million was set aside for electric vehicles, while $4 billion was included for natural gas vehicles. Tregilus isnโt convinced thatโs a good thing.
โNatural gas is really more of a bridge technology in the short-term, but if we incentivize one heavily over the other, it could dictate what we end up with as a final technology,โ he says.
